Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.001686 0.001791 0.001900 0.002020 0.002151 0.002288 0.002443
2025-03-16 0.001534 0.001681 0.001840 0.002023 0.002231 0.002458 0.002728
2025-03-23 0.001412 0.001584 0.001775 0.002003 0.002269 0.002572 0.002944
2025-03-30 0.001324 0.001514 0.001730 0.001994 0.002311 0.002683 0.003156
2025-04-06 0.001242 0.001442 0.001675 0.001966 0.002324 0.002754 0.003316
2025-04-13 0.001169 0.001376 0.001621 0.001932 0.002324 0.002806 0.003451
2025-04-20 0.001087 0.001295 0.001542 0.001863 0.002274 0.002789 0.003493
2025-04-27 0.001057 0.001273 0.001536 0.001882 0.002333 0.002910 0.003720
2025-05-04 0.001039 0.001267 0.001546 0.001922 0.002420 0.003071 0.004006
2025-05-11 0.001031 0.001270 0.001569 0.001977 0.002529 0.003265 0.004347
2025-05-18 0.001006 0.001252 0.001563 0.001993 0.002584 0.003387 0.004594
2025-05-25 0.000963 0.001207 0.001520 0.001957 0.002566 0.003406 0.004691
2025-06-01 0.000919 0.001162 0.001478 0.001925 0.002558 0.003447 0.004836
2025-06-08 0.000888 0.001135 0.001458 0.001922 0.002591 0.003549 0.005081
2025-06-15 0.000853 0.001100 0.001426 0.001901 0.002597 0.003609 0.005265
2025-06-22 0.000825 0.001073 0.001404 0.001893 0.002619 0.003696 0.005494
2025-06-29 0.000793 0.001039 0.001371 0.001866 0.002612 0.003736 0.005651
2025-07-06 0.000762 0.001004 0.001335 0.001835 0.002596 0.003761 0.005782
2025-07-13 0.000722 0.000957 0.001279 0.001770 0.002526 0.003696 0.005757
2025-07-20 0.000710 0.000948 0.001278 0.001788 0.002583 0.003836 0.006092
2025-07-27 0.000704 0.000948 0.001291 0.001825 0.002673 0.004034 0.006543
2025-08-03 0.000703 0.000955 0.001312 0.001877 0.002788 0.004281 0.007102
2025-08-10 0.000692 0.000945 0.001309 0.001892 0.002844 0.004429 0.007491